31 May 2016

UK Net Car Importer In 2015

Bentley is small in numbers but big in value added

I'm not taking sides with the Brexit issue, nor do I claim (unlike some 'experts') to know how UK's exit from the EU would affect the UK if it goes ahead. However, the SMMT (which represents the British car industry and importers) is most anxious that the UK stay within the EU. The reason is to protect British car manufacturing. I don't get the logic and I will explain why.

If it exits, Britain may face an import duty of 10% selling cars in Europe. I assume that would apply both ways. The UK imports more cars from Europe than exports there, by some margin. So exports to Europe would be reduced and imports from Europe likewise. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to work out Europe has more to lose by tariffs, especially Germany.

What it means:  European car manufacturers do very well out of the UK, notably Germany and Spain.

Moving on from that subject I have gone back to 1981, comparing how many cars are made in the UK against how many are sold there. In 2015, the UK made nearly 1.6 million cars and bought over 2.6 million. That's a deficit of nearly 1.05 million or -39.7%. That is the second lowest percentage since 1989.

The chart below is in thousands, so three zeros have to be added to each figure. It shows the car companies that assemble in the UK and whether they export more than they import. For example Nissan produced 475,000 cars and sold 154,000 in the UK, making it a net exporter of 321,000 cars. If a car brand isn't there, then they don't make cars in Britain. Either that or they are too small to be counted, such as Aston Martin, Lotus, Morgan etc. (Those other small makes add up to 17,000 cars, as seen in the 'Rest' column).

Summary: Comparing 2014 and 2015, UK car sales grew faster than UK production by nearly 100,000 cars compared to the previous year. That took the deficit figure from 951,000 to 1,046,000. 2016 should see the sales increase slowing or even plateau, while car manufacturing will increase quite strongly. Britain will never again be a country that makes more cars than it buys, but not that many nations are in that position. The value to the UK economy car manufacturing brings is still very substantial.


Year 2014 2015

Brand Prod Sales +/- Prod Sales +/-

Nissan 500 138 362 475 154 321

Land Rover 373 56 317 387 67 320

Mini 179 54 125 201 64 137

Toyota 172 94 78 190 99 91

Honda 122 54 68 103 24 79

Jaguar 76 18 58 119 53 66

Bentley 11 1 10 11 1 10

Vauxhall 78 269 -191 85 270 -185

Rest 14 1792 -1778 17 1902 -1885

Total 1525 2476 -951 1588 2634 -1046

Net Importer

-38.4

-39.7

Data source: SMMT.

The Jaguar F-Pace will be part of the 2016 figures

29 May 2016

Land Rover Sales USA By Model: 2001-2015

A big country requires a big car

The USA is a key market for Land Rover. Not only in the last 15 years, over 627,000 units have been sold there, they are also larger models. While the Range Rover Sport (RRS), Range Rover and Discovery have all sold just over 160,000 each in this period, the Freelander only managed 69,000 units. It's replacement, the Discovery Sport (DS) is separated here but if added nearly 77,000 sales.

The RRS hit the ground running and has been the best selling model since 2006. 2015 was a record for the RRS as too the Range Rover. The Evoque has done well but cannot quite match those two biggest selling models. The DS will do better than the outgoing Freelander due to its larger size. The Discovery is a solid selling model, but didn't do so well for some years. It had a good 2015 however.

If you look at the 'Total' column, yellow is under 30,000, blue 30-49,000, pink 50-69,000 and green 70,000+. From that it is plain the last three years have been stellar for LR USA. A full year of DS sales should make 2016 another successful year.

Yr RR Sp R Rov Evoque Dis Sp Disco Freel Total
2001 - 5,770 - - 20,100 1,330 27,200
2002 - 8,550 - - 17,420 15,020 40,990
2003 - 12,090 - - 17,420 9,530 39,040
2004 - 13,540 - - 16,530 5,430 35,500
2005 10,440 13,430 - - 20,160 2,140 46,170
2006 18,760 12,040 - - 16,930 40 47,770
2007 16,990 12,320 - - 11,040 9,200 49,550
2008 11,680 8,150 - - 3,860 5,520 29,210
2009 11,360 7,310 - - 3,200 4,430 26,300
2010 12,350 8,750 - - 7,120 3,650 31,870
2011 15,330 9,760 2,250 - 7,980 2,780 38,100
2012 16,490 7,840 8,900 - 7,320 3,110 43,660
2013 15,980 12,220 11,400 - 7,090 3,320 50,010
2014 17,900 12,830 12,440 - 4,680 3,620 51,470
2015 21,460 17,820 14,580 7,610 9,030 80 70,580
Tot 168,740 162,420 49,570 7,610 169,880 69,200 627,420

For an earlier series, simply click on the dates: 

28 May 2016

Peru Car/SUV Sales By Brand : 2015


When looking at total vehicle sales the order of brand is quite different than here, with this chart. I decided to take just cars and SUVs, not uncommon generally but it is for this market. The statistics come from ARAPER, which can vary from other sources, so all good fun.

Nissan has established a healthy lead as the three below stumbled. Things move around here with fluidity and there are plenty of brands for a smallish sized nation. Chinese makes have come to Latin America in force but are yet to really make a mark with passenger cars in Peru. They do better in the commercial sector.

Below the list is coded by colour to show how brands have done with increases and decreases. -20% or more yellow, -1 to -19% salmon, 1-19% blue and +20 or more green.



13 14 15 Make 2015 % +/-


4 1 1 Nissan 10,439 15.7% 11.9%


2 2 2 Hyundai 8,451 12.7% -8.3%


3 3 3 Kia 8,159 12.3% -8.3%


1 4 4 Toyota 7,033 10.6% -18.6%


7 8 5 Suzuki 3,533 5.3% 22.7%


9 5 6 Mazda 3,360 5.1% 9.7%


6 9 7 VW 3,334 5.0% 27.9%


8 7 8 Renault 2,682 4.0% -7.7%


5 6 9 Chervolet 2,242 3.4% -25.1%


13 10 10 Subaru 2,047 3.1% -3.7%


10 11 11 Honda 1,587 2.4% -23.6%


14 13 12 BMW 1,538 2.3% 7.5%


11 15 13 Ford 1,513 2.3% 35.8%


12 12 14 Chrysler 1,356 2.0% -14.3%


15 14 15 Mitsubishi 1,291 1.9% 2.6%


18 19 16 Great Wall 996 1.5% 15.5%


16 16 17 Audi 797 1.2% -16.2%


20 17 18 Mercedes 794 1.2% -11.5%


17 18 19 Chery 639 1.0% -26.1%


19 21 20 Ssangyong 596 0.9% -5.2%


21 20 21 Daihatsu 543 0.8% -18.8%


22 22 22 Peugeot 427 0.6% 1.4%


42 27 23 Changan 344 0.5% 45.1%


27 26 24 Mahindra 274 0.4% 15.1%


24 24 25 JAC 255 0.4% -10.8%


26 25 26 Volvo 223 0.3% -12.2%


30 28 27 Lexus 213 0.3% -6.2%


28 31 28 Porsche 194 0.3% 2.1%


- 41 29 BAIC 189 0.3% 256.6%


25 33 30 Citroën 184 0.3% 31.4%


35 23 31 BYD 174 0.3% -49.7%


32 32 32 Land Rover 158 0.2% 9.7%


37 36 33 Brilliance 90 0.1% -18.2%


41 37 34 Fiat 87 0.1% -16.3%


36 35 35 MINI 86 0.1% -23.9%


23 30 36 Zoyte 80 0.1% -58.1%


33 34 37 Lifan 57 0.1% -53.7%


31 38 38 Geely 54 0.1% -41.3%


- 39 38 Dong Feng 54 0.1% -25.0%


29 40 40 Seat 42 0.1% -35.4%


44 - 41 MG 28 0.0% n/a


43 45 42 FAW 27 0.0% 17.4%


40 44 43 ZNA 15 0.0% -40.0%





Other 190 0.3%





Total 66,375
-3.5%